UFC 164: Henderson Vs Pettis II goes down tonight in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and as always Fighters.com will be bringing you back to front coverage of the entire event. Get your beak wet with some analysis and picks of the entire card below, and get ready for a solid night of MMA.
UFC 164: Henderson Vs Pettis II takes place tonight at the HMO Harris Bradley Center in Milwaukee. Defending lightweight champion Benson Henderson looks to defend his belt for the fourth time when he takes on Anthony Pettis in a rematch of the final WEC fight in history. In the first fight, Pettis defeated Henderson in a five round back and forth bout by unanimous decision, and the result left Pettis as the final WEC Lightweight Champion.
Benson Henderson Vs Anthony Pettis
While I don’t agree with Pettis’ coach that Henderson’s striking got worse, I will say it hasn’t gotten as good as Pettis’ has. The learning curve advantage definitely goes to Pettis. Henderson likes to land kicks to the body and legs to goad his opponent into coming forward on his terms, and if the fighter bites he takes them down. That barely worked against Pettis last time, and unless we see a 180 degree different game plan from Henderson, I see him dropping his second championship fight against Pettis.
Pettis via unanimous decision
Josh Barnett vs Frank Mir
Both fighters are looking to get back in the winning column, and even those this bout should have happened in 2005, bad decisions by Barnett made that impossible. This fight won’t be pretty as Mir and Barnett get very cautious when in big fights, and both fighters aren’t exactly known for their cardio. I expect a lot of the fight to happen on the feet, and if it does hit the ground I think Mir will have the advantage. If Barnett can force this fight to happen in the clinch, I think he can get a win via an ugly decision.
Barnett via decision
Clay Guida vs. Chad Mendes
This is where the running in circles road ends for Guida. Mendes is better at everything that Guida is good at, and while Guida has baffled some fighters with his footwork, Mendes will have the answer for it. With Duane Ludwig running the show at Alpha Male, I expect Mendes to cut off the cage against Guida and corner him. Mendes will have an advantage early in the bout, and even if Guida survives a round or two, by the end he will have to take chances to get the win. However, I see Mendes getting the stop in the second round.
Mendes via TKO
Brandon Vera vs. Ben Rothwell
This fight was tailor made for Ben Rothwell. Rothwell needs a win, and Vera just can’t seem to put it all together when the lights go on over the octagon. Vera’s move back to heavyweight is questionable, and while Rothwell has a hard time staying healthy, I expect him to wear Vera out and get the stop.
Rothwell via TKO
Erik Koch vs. Dustin Poirier
Both of these guys were streaking across the featherweight division, but both fighters have run into injuries and stumbling blocks in the form of losses. Poirier will have the reach advantage in this fight, but his aggression could get the better of him against the usually calm Koch. Poirier has a few more ways to win this bout, but the slick ground work from Koch will get him the win.
Koch via submission in round 1
The Fight: Jamie Varner vs. Gleison Tibau
The Pick: Varner by decision. Expect former champion to control where this fight takes place.
The Fight: Louis Gaudinot vs. Tim Elliott
The Pick: Gaudinot gets a finish late in the fight. A late submission is just as likely as a decision for Lou.
The Fight: Hyun Gyu Lim vs. Pascal Krauss
The Pick: Hyun Gyu Lim gets the TKO in this one. Krauss will have a hard time with the 7” reach advantage of Lim.
The Fight: Chico Camus vs. Kyung Ho Kang
The Pick: Camus wins via decision. Kang has a questionable fight IQ, and Camus can win a ground fight because of it.
The Fight: Soa Palelei vs. Nikita Krylov
The Pick: Palelei gets the TKO. Krylov has a chance to end the fight in a hurry, but the moment could get the better of him in Milwaukee.
The Fight: Al Iaquinta vs. Ryan Couture
The Pick: Iaquinta via decision. Iaquinta will need to be ‘on’ for the full 15 minutes to get the win, and I’m not sure he has ever done that in the octagon or on TUF. Couture is too hittable.
The Fight: Jared Hamman vs. Magnus Cedenblad
The Pick: Hamman via TKO. Expect Hamman to overwhelm Magnus in a hurry in this one.
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