Breaking Down UFC 158: St-Pierre Vs Diaz: Main Card | Fighters.com

Breaking Down UFC 158: St-Pierre Vs Diaz: Main Card

Recommend to your friends!
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  

The weigh ins are in the books, and all fights are a go for UFC 158: St-Pierre Vs Diaz tomorrow night in Montreal at the Bell Centre. We broke down the prelims yesterday, and you can get an eyeful of our main card picks for UFC 158 below. 

Colin Fletcher vs. Mike Ricci (Lightweights)

Both recent The Ultimate Fighter alums did fairly well in their respective seasons of the show. Both fighters are likely fighting for their roster spots as they are both coming off of decision losses. Fletcher will enjoy a slight reach advantage, which he usually has in fights, and he will look to keep RIcci on the outside with low kicks and jabs. Fletcher seems to have a hard time doing using his distance for entire rounds, and sometimes lets fighters on the inside of his reach and he gets taken down. That happens to be  one of the things Ricci is good at, and he will look to use his inside trips to put Fletcher on his back.

Fletcher is confident in his BJJ skills, and his long limbs allow him to get chokes at odd angles from different positions, but Ricci is cage savvy enough to stay out of most submissions. Fletcher will always make a fight out of any scrap he is in, but Ricci will use his position to win two of the three rounds and get the decision win.

Mike Ricci via unanimous decision

Chris Camozzi Vs Nick Ring (Middleweights)

There are two things you shouldn’t expect in this fight. The first thing you shouldn’t expect is a technical striking match. This fight will be ugly, and I don’t mean that in a derogatory way, I mean that thats the type of fight both fighters will look to have. The other thing you shouldn’t expect is a for Camozzi to take down Ring, as he hasn’t shot for a takedown in his 8 UFC fights.

Ring recovered well from his first career loss to Tim Boetsch by defeating Court McGee by decision, and Camozzi has quietly put together a three fight winning streak in the division. Once Ring gets a taste of Camozzi’s punches he will look to turn this into a grappling match, and while I expect Camozzi to land on his back once or twice from takedowns, I don’t see him keeping him there.  Expect Camozzi to eek out a close decision win in an exciting fight that will win both of them a lot of fans.

Chris Camozzi via decision

Jake Ellenberger Vs Nate Marquardt (Welterweights)

When the card got shuffled because of Rory MacDonald’s injury, Marquardt stepped right in as he was relatively healthy after his win at the last Strikeforce card.  This is a fight where the two have a very good chance of stalemating each other trying to get it to the ground. If that happens you can expect some of fun exchanges as both guys have had their chins tested in the past. Ellenberger has a counter left hook he knows  how to set up effortlessly, but other than that he really just sets up his punches off of his jab. Marquardt will vary it up a bunch more, and is much more creative with his striking.

I expect both fighters to abandon their takedowns early in the first round, and it won’t it be until someone gets tagged once or twice until we see either of them secure one. I expect  that someone to be Ellenberger.

Jake Ellenberger via split decision

Carlos Condit Vs Johny Hendricks (Welterweights)

Every fighter expects Hendricks to be able to punch very hard, and everyone knows he is quick, but people are just now figuring out how much ground Hendricks can cover in a short amount of time. Coming in with a five inch reach disadvantage, Hendricks is counting on lulling Condit into his wheelhouse and closing the deal with a knockout. Even in tense situations, like his last fight against Diaz, Condit is able to remain calm and stick to his game plan. Which will likely be to keep Hendricks on the end of his punches for most of the fight.

Fans forget about the wrestling abilities of Hendricks, but don’t think for a second that Condit has. Look for Condit to use his knees to stymie a double leg from Hendricks that stuns him late in the fight, and for Condito overwhelm with punches to secure the W.

Carlos Condit Technical Knockout, round 3

Georges St-Pierre Vs Nick Diaz  (Welterweight)

GSP is an exceptional natural wrestler. Nick Diaz has a fierce striking game he has been honing for the better part of his life. GSP is no slouch on the feet, and Diaz is so confident in his his jiu-jitsu that he will let guys take him down, but when we talk about both combatants ”˜bread-and-butter’ its a grappler vs striker match-up. We all know how that plays out, grappler stays on the inside of the punches, and if possible get a takedown. Rinse, wash. and repeat. St-Pierre is very capable of doing that in this fight, and add in to the scenario that he only has to win three of the five rounds, and the odds Vegas laid down on the fight start to make sense (It’s like they watch the sport or something.)

Diaz is not going to NOT come forward in a fight, its one of the things that fans love so much about him, but that is the ”˜prisoners dilemma’ for Diaz. Diaz’s best ability is getting his opponents to freeze while he  is feinting and setting up punches, and when it comes down to it his defense is a really good offense. Nick doesn’t mind eating punches, and because of his hand speed he will almost always land more strikes than whoever he is exchanging with.

It’s like Diaz’s coach Cesar Gracie just pulls a string on his back at the beginning of each round and he will just keep coming forward. As far as conditioning is concerned, Diaz will have a clear advantage, and he will look to wear out GSP. GSP might stand and trade with him a bit, but once St-Pierre sees how fast those punches are coming in, he will shoot on Diaz. I think GSP can do enough on the ground to get three rounds on Diaz, but this is such a coin flip that I was close to picking against GSP for the first time since he won his belt back.

Georges St-Pierre via unanimous decision


Recommend to your friends!
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  

Fighters App

Fighters Mobile Apps

Stay on top of the hottest stories and exclusive interviews from the world of MMA with the Fighters.com mobile apps.

Get Apps Now!
74-322 220-602 1Y0-308 510-888 251-223 070-631 HP0-S30 70-551-VB CMS7 ST0-119 LOT-404 ICDL-IT 000-448 RH202 C2020-105 MB6-507 GB0-500 250-222 9L0-064 LOT-917 74-133 1Z1-026 000-004 C2180-274 070-403 1Z1-851 70-503-VB 70-497 000-780 70-668J COG-635 70-595 E22-201 920-232 ST0-074 C2090-914 050-683 C2020-625 CX-310-105 1Z0-146 070-443 TMPF 000-817 C2180-376 000-M601 E20-580 VCP-411 HP0-Y37 A4040-332 70-293BIG5 000-240 000-911 920-164 220-302 000-164 A00-250 70-564 1Z0-311 642-825 700-101 1Z1-451 000-M04 3X0-202 810-420 000-M83 1Y0-309 HP0-680 ITIL-F-CHS 74-322 P6040-014 HP0-M45 642-642 312-50v8 1Z1-211 C2180-276 HP0-Y49 HP0-J11 HP0-M28 TB0-116 000-035 TB0-105 642-583 E20-610 920-431 SCNS_EN 000-M22 HP0-Y21 HP0-265 000-898 270-411 70-515 050-654-(570A) HP0-J10 070-332 PC0-001 ECSS 70-234 000-719 00M-620 000-191 ES0-007 HP0-921 E20-590 1D0-51B 642-691 HP0-S17 HC-621-CHS 4A0-110 9L0-007 650-173 000-132 0B0-105 EC0-349 1Z1-007 000-635 117-304 1Z1-457 HP2-E48 000-807 000-046 000-M61 1Z0-481 1Z0-531 C2040-922 HP2-Z13 070-516-CSHARP 650-621 M70-101 642-746 000-051 74-338 70-529 HP0-S12 70-640 E20-040 70-511-Csharp 070-642Big5 HP0-634 C_TADM51_731 0B0-109 BCP-223 CUR-011 COG-321 CX-310-065 HP2-B68 000-156 070-648 MB7-225 225-020 070-331 LX0-102 1Z1-045 70-504 000-033 050-694 000-833 646-976 HP0-D09 00M-222 A4040-121 COG-385 050-854-(570A) 000-647 1Z0-041 CCD-333 1D0-442 70-689 1Y0-962 LX0-101 070-321 000-196 000-590 1T6-540 650-568 HP2-K10 251-250 1Z1-053 1Z1-559 MB4-534 70-579 P6040-015 M2010-668 070-540 250-503 IIA-CIA-Part2 HP2-N40 MB5-857 070-639 70-547-Csharp ST0-155 HP0-S11 642-565 E20-850 A2180-400 C_HANATEC131 070-270 MB6-527 HC-224 0B0-103 C2020-700 646-230 MB6-885 74-344 MB6-507 070-512 642-263 MB5-292 74-138 70-652 70-510 70-635 70-229 70-680GB2312 070-683 MB5-629 70-571 642-617 642-972 350-001-LAB MB4-218 70-542-VB 70-441GB2312 70-467J 070-685 642-243 642-994 070-158 MB6-513 70-536-VB MB5-229 642-887 642-145 MB6-818 070-220 MB6-205 MB4-212 646-206 642-631 070-463 070-516 OG0-093 HP2-E53 000-913 650-752 C4060-089 000-267 000-N20 250-251 642-162 000-773 VCP310-UP-VCP410 C2010-579 000-034 000-901 HP0-Y40 650-316 A2090-610 C2150-195 C2140-053 1Z0-807 VCP5-DCV 000-271 HP0-512 98-361 HP2-N32 MB6-869 CX-310-231 1Z0-593 000-M13 MB2-631 650-027 ST0-148 000-274 MB7-839 000-048 9L0-518 1Z1-852 000-351 DC0-200 646-057 HC-821-ENU 000-236 E20-885 920-530 SU0-221 CAT-060 EC0-479 HP0-J60 C2170-008 212-055 920-191 000-303 HH0-220 MB6-508 920-121 000-122 000-501 922-097 MB2-423 ST0-057 win 7 key Win 7 key online Win 7 key sale Win 7 key product key Win 7 ultimate key cheap Win 7 key microsoft office 2013 key Office 2013 key Office 2010 key Office 2010 keys windows 8 key windows 8.1 key windows 8.1 product key Windows 7 key Windows 7 ultimate key Windows 7 product key Windows 7 key store buy Windows 7 key Windows Server 2012 key Windows 8 key online Windows 7 key Windows 7 key windows 8 key Office 2013 key office 2010 key Windows Server 2012 key Rosetta Stone sale Office Visio product key Visual Studio product key Office 2011 for MAC key BitDefender key Eset Nod32 product key Windows 7 ץȥ` Windows 8 ץȥ` Windows 8.1 ץȥ` Windows 8 pro ץȥ` Windows 8.1 pro ץȥ` Windows 7 Professional ץȥ` Windows 7 Ultimate ץȥ` Windows 7 Home Premium ץȥ` Windows 7 Home Premium `ɰ Windows 8 Pro `ɰ Windows 8.1 Pro `ɰ